An Integrated Abundance Model for Estimating County-Level Prevalence of Opioid Misuse In Ohio > 자유게시판

We lack direct info on the prevalence of PWMO in all of Ohio’s counties. However, we do have indirect info on this amount in the type of surveillance information collected at the county level. Specifically, we've access to counts of overdose deaths and treatment admissions yearly for each county. However, neither surveillance final result is an ideal reflection of PWMO as a result of there are unique choice processes associated with capturing an individual in both observed consequence which might be seemingly heterogeneous throughout house and time. For instance, overdose demise rates are possible related to supply of fentanyl in the native drug market (Pardo et al., 2019). Likewise, therapy admissions are associated to local entry to care. This heterogeneity prevents us from merely assuming that there is an ideal correlation between the surveillance outcomes and underlying unobservable prevalence of PWMO. Instead, we should explicitly account for these choice processes. That is structurally much like the issue confronted in ecological purposes of estimating inhabitants abundance with unmarked observations and unknown detection (i.e., choice) probabilities.

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